Apr 09 2008

Investment opportunity | Luxury stocks take unjustified beating



Savigny_partners_luxury_index_2_2

Our colleagues over at Savigny Partners released their regular newsletter today, demonstrating just how tough things have been for many luxury and fashion stocks in recent months and highlighting an investment opportunity for those who believe in the long-term fundamentals of the luxury market.

The Savigny Luxury Index (SLI) has plummeted by 29% since its peak in June 2007, underperforming the overall market as measured by the performance of the FTSE All World Index. But, longtime industry watchers will recall that the luxury industry was one of the first to bounce back after the post 9/11 economic malaise.

Savigny_partners_luxury_index_3_2 Stocks with exposure to accessible luxury have been hit the hardest with Coach, Tods, Burberry and Tiffany seeing their Enterprise Value/EBITDA multiples crash by more than 30%. On the other hand, LVMH has fared reasonably well with its diversified portfolio of brands, while Hermes managed to score an increase in its EBITDA multiples.

Pierre Mallevays, Managing Director, writes:

“Consistent with the past, the sector has been
proportionately more penalised than the overall market in the same
period. We think this is unjustified in light of the positive long-term
fundamentals of the luxury goods market. Undoubtedly, it is our view
that the sector presents strong buying opportunities for the
medium-term investor.”

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